Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (109-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 39 | 12-15 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 32 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 30 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Willie Green * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Grant Hill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 43 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 12-21 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 21 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Mike James * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter