Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -23 (82-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Pekovic * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 27 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 25 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Calderon * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Kim English * | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter