Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (109-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 41 | 11-27 | 2-10 | 12-16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 20 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 24 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Earl Clark | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 43 | 9-24 | 3-9 | 4-7 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 41 | 8-18 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| David Lee * | 37 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Draymond Green | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter