Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +24 (110-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Miller * | 39 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 10-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton * | 10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Julyan Stone * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Evan Fournier | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Randolph | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Timofey Mozgov | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Roberts * | 41 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 36 | 9-22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 27 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Darius Miller * | 25 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Xavier Henry * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter