Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +13 (107-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 40 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 27 | 5-17 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 27 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 44 | 13-22 | 2-4 | 19-24 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 40 | - |
| Chris Singleton * | 42 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jan Vesely * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter