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Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 33.8% 66.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Margin 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings -14 (103-117). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Damien Wilkins * 39 6-13 1-3 4-5 6 3 1 1 0 17 15 -
Jrue Holiday * 38 9-20 1-4 2-6 10 7 5 1 4 21 20 -
Thaddeus Young * 32 6-14 0-1 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 14 8 -
Spencer Hawes * 30 7-13 0-1 0-0 10 3 1 1 2 14 14 -
Evan Turner * 30 3-7 0-1 1-2 2 8 1 0 1 7 10 -
Dorell Wright * 29 6-13 6-10 4-4 3 6 0 1 1 22 18 -
Lavoy Allen * 22 9-13 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 20 15 -
Royal Ivey * 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Arnett Moultrie * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Tyreke Evans * 33 8-15 1-3 2-2 2 8 2 1 1 19 16 -
Patrick Patterson * 33 5-11 2-3 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 12 11 -
John Salmons * 31 2-9 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
Isaiah Thomas * 28 10-15 4-7 1-1 3 0 0 0 3 25 10 -
DeMarcus Cousins * 27 3-9 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 1 2 8 10 -
Marcus Thornton * 26 9-12 1-4 3-3 0 1 0 0 1 22 10 -
Jason Thompson * 26 4-10 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
Toney Douglas * 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 0 0 -
Cole Aldrich * 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Travis Outlaw 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter