Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +20 (103-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 39 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 36 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Will Barton * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 10-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter