Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +4 (110-106). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 45 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 32 | 10-17 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 27 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 22 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Shavlik Randolph | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| DJ White | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerryd Bayless * | 38 | 11-20 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter