Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks +26 (110-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 30 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 21 | 2-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Smith * | 31 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 30 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Chris Copeland * | 20 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| James White | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter