Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -1 (91-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 21 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 19 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 37 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 35 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 15 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Jeff Adrien * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter