Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (100-103). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 44 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 29 | 9-15 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 37 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 20 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 18 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Earl Clark | 7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter