Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -31 (86-117). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Stiemsma * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 16 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 22 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 21 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 17 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Diante Garrett * | 10 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter