Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (90-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 37 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 27 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tony Wroten * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -4 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Darius Miller * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter