Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -11 (93-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 39 | 10-17 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 39 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 38 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 8-16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Will Barton | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 43 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 38 | 9-21 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 34 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 14 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter