Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -5 (94-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 43 | 14-31 | 2-8 | 7-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 9 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 41 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| JR Smith * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 36 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chris Copeland * | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Steve Novak | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landry Fields * | 38 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 36 | 11-18 | 6-11 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 25 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 18 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter