Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +3 (101-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Pekovic * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 32 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 25 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 43 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 38 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 35 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette * | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter