Model Predictions
| Model | Philadelphia 76ers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (101-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Wilkins * | 39 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 38 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Charles Jenkins * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Iguodala * | 40 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 39 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 35 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 32 | 10-18 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter