Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -10 (89-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 39 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 38 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 13 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 14-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 18 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Barton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Belinelli * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 32 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 24 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Teague | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter