Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (79-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 33 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 41 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 38 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter