Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (104-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lee * | 37 | 4-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 8-20 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 33 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 17 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 31 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 29 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Danny Green * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nando De Colo * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 15 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter