Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -17 (96-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 40 | 13-25 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 12 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 37 | 15-22 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 28 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 26 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| MarShon Brooks | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Mayo * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mike James * | 26 | 4-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Elton Brand * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 21 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Chris Wright | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bernard James | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter