Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (100-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 42 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 41 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Enes Freedom * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 17-18 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 30 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Thomas Robinson * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter