Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +1 (87-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 36 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 33 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 29 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 31 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Darius Miller * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lance Thomas * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter