Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (107-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 40 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 16 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Henderson * | 39 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 35 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 27 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 8-12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 12 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
* = starter