Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (102-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 44 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 42 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 42 | 10-20 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 41 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 12 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joel Freeland * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Will Barton | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 43 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 39 | 9-20 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 10 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 19 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gustavo Ayon * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ish Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Henson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter