Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +22 (95-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 32 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 32 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 32 | 2-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -5 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nikola Vučević * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kyle O'Quinn * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| DeQuan Jones | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Doron Lamb | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 31 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Paul George * | 28 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 27 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Ayres * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 19 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sam Young | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter