Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -21 (72-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 10-19 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| David Lee * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Miller * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 28 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 21 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter