Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +15 (92-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickael Gelabale * | 31 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Williams * | 26 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Tony Wroten * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter