Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.9% | 14.1% | -6.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -2 (103-105). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 16-29 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 26 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 36 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 40 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 40 | 14-21 | 5-7 | 10-13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 35 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 39 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
* = starter