Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -21 (90-111). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Hibbert * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jeff Ayres * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Paul George * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Gerald Green * | 23 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| George Hill * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam Young | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson * | 31 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 26 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Shaun Livingston * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 24 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter