Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +5 (119-114). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martell Webster * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| John Wall * | 32 | 8-17 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 29 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Henderson * | 45 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 10-11 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 21 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 18 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Adrien * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter