Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +1 (101-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 41 | 10-20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 40 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 39 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 39 | 13-28 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Will Barton * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 40 | 11-21 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 39 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 39 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Charles Jenkins * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Arnett Moultrie * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Lavoy Allen * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter