Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +11 (113-102). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 41 | 6-19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 36 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 34 | 9-20 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| John Salmons * | 30 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 20 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Toney Douglas * | 16 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Cole Aldrich * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 40 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 27 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 10-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 34 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 34 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
* = starter