Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +2 (97-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greivis Vasquez * | 39 | 10-25 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Eric Gordon * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 25 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brian Roberts * | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Terrel Harris * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Williams * | 37 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mickael Gelabale * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Greg Stiemsma * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Alexey Shved * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter