Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -30 (78-108). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 44 | 12-22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 42 | 10-18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 9 | - |
| David Lee * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 17 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 40 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 35 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 35 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 23 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 19 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Thomas Robinson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter