Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (112-101). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler * | 40 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 39 | 12-23 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 11 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 27 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 37 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 37 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 24 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Will Barton * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Freeland | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter