Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +6 (90-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 41 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 39 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 37 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 24 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austin Daye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Leuer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 37 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Enes Freedom * | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Alec Burks | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter