Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +6 (119-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Livingston * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 2-7 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 29 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 22 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Marreese Speights * | 22 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Danny Green * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Nando De Colo * | 24 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Cory Joseph * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gary Neal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter