Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +17 (105-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh McRoberts * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 26 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 21 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Adrien * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Lee * | 32 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 23 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Shavlik Randolph * | 15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Terrence Williams * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| DJ White * | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter