Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +22 (127-105). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 24 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martell Webster * | 38 | 10-18 | 7-10 | 7-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 22 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 35 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| John Wall * | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Bradley Beal * | 20 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jan Vesely | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter