Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -18 (95-113). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Belinelli * | 40 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 34 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 32 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 26 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Marquis Teague * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| David Lee * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Festus Ezeli | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter