Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (87-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 25 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tony Wroten * | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Gallinari * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter