Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -6 (93-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 35 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 33 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 21 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 39 | 11-19 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 12 | - |
| David West * | 38 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Paul George * | 35 | 6-20 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 23 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Sam Young * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Orlando Johnson * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Ayres | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter