Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +14 (92-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Henderson * | 43 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 40 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 8-12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 26 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -4 | - |
| Jeffery Taylor * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Byron Mullens * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Johnson * | 43 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 35 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 13 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Terrence Ross * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Alan Anderson * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter