Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +15 (105-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Smith * | 35 | 11-21 | 4-8 | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 29 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Iman Shumpert * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Chris Copeland * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Pablo Prigioni * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 44 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 41 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 40 | 11-18 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 38 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Meyers Leonard * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Will Barton * | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter