Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +8 (105-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 39 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 37 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 29 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 27 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 42 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 42 | 11-17 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 21 | - |
| David Lee * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 18 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kent Bazemore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malcolm Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter