Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +42 (121-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Robinson * | 34 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 22 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 22 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 21 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marquis Teague * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 36 | 11-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 27 | - |
| John Salmons * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 28 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Cole Aldrich * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 20 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Toney Douglas | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jimmer Fredette | 11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Travis Outlaw | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter