Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +23 (110-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 27 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Enes Freedom * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 18 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Alec Burks * | 12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Murphy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 28 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 19 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Perry Jones III | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter