Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +30 (111-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Johnson * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 20 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Diante Garrett | 8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 22 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Thomas Robinson * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Greg Smith | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| James Anderson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter