Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +4 (96-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 41 | 9-19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 38 | 11-33 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 7 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 38 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 33 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jodie Meeks * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 40 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 4-8 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shelvin Mack * | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter